✅ Verified System Play: Nets (+17.5) at Celtics
The Nets have lost six games in a row and have failed to cover in all six contests. While that doesn’t exactly inspire a lot of confidence in them ahead of tonight’s matchup against the Celtics in Boston, a profitable Verified Trend is active in Brooklyn’s favor.
Over the last 30 years, teams in their position having lost five straight ATS at this time of the season have covered at a 60.94% clip on the road, as seen above. The Nets opened at +14.5 and early action moved the line to 17.5, which adds some extra value.
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😱 OMG! The Utter Disrespect!
Since Giannis Antetokounmpo suffered his calf injury, the Bucks have gone 8-4 SU (66.67%, +12.55u, 104.15% ROI) as underdogs. Yet, sportsbooks keep undervaluing them.
Milwaukee (26-31 SU) has been thriving without Giannis Antetokounmpo lately. In fact, despite being listed as underdogs in each of their last 10 games, they’ve gone 8-2 SU and have posted the 2nd-best Offensive Rating (120.6) with the best Effective Field Goal Percentage (59.5%) and tied for the best True Shooting Percentage (61.4%). They’ve knocked down 40.7% of their threes in that span (best) and this roster is sneakily a solid offensive unit.
Kevin Porter Jr., Ryan Rollins, AJ Green, Kyle Kuzma and Myles Turner will man the starting five while Bobby Portis, Cam Thomas, Jericho Sims and Ousmane Dieng pack a punch off the bench. The Knicks (37-22 SU) have been playing some decent ball, but Milwaukee’s +290 moneyline has a 25.64% implied probability to win. That’s a solid value based on how this group has been playing lately, especially on their home floor.
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