Written by Dan Karpuc
After nailing two of my three NBA picks yesterday, I've identified three more plays to target on today's slate!
Before that, I just want to let you know that we just rolled out a new “For You” page inside the Discover tab on the TrendsCenter App, making it easier than ever to find the best betting trends and systems in seconds. Instead of sorting and searching through different pages, you can now see today’s top trends all in one place. The For You page organizes everything for you, including highest win rate trends, most profitable systems, popular picks, active streaks, verified trends, team trends, and trends by sport. It’s the fastest way to discover what’s working right now across the betting market — all on a single screen.
Let’s get into today’s best bets!
Knicks -13.5 at Jazz (-113, ProphetX)
It's worth noting that this line opened at +/- 10.5 before moving to this number, but I'm still on the Knicks to cover nonetheless. After a rough trip to Los Angeles in which they lost to the Lakers (110-97) and Clippers (126-118) on Sunday and Monday, this is a classic get-right spot for the Knicks, who have the system above on their side.
Last time these teams played, New York crushed Utah 146-112 and the Jazz enter this matchup as losers of two of their last 10 contests. Miles McBride will be out for the Knicks while Josh Hart is listed as questionable. Meanwhile, Jaren Jackson Jr., Walker Kessler, Lauri Markkanen and Jusuf Nurkic are all out while Keyonte George and John Konchar are both questionable.
The Knicks have gone 8-2 ATS as double-digit favorites this season and rank 5th in Net Rating while Utah ranks 26th in that regard. The Jazz are currently tanking and while the players on the floor aren't giving up, the matchup will be lopsided from a talent perspective. Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns should both thrive in this matchup while OG Anunoby and Mikal Bridges should be in a great spot to deliver standout performances. Give me the Knicks to win and cover in a blowout win.
We’re also excited to partner with ProphetX, giving TrendsCenter users another place to tail the trends directly in the market. New users who sign up with code TRENDSCENTER can take advantage of a 20% Purchase Match up to $100, helping you get started with extra bankroll right away. If you’re seeing a trend or system you like in the TrendsCenter app, you can now tail it at ProphetX and get in on the action.
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Hornets -13 at Kings (+102, ProphetX)
The Hornets own the NBA's best ATS record (41-24) and even though they're coming off back-to-back outright losses, they have a substantial advantage over the lowly Kings. Before dropping those last two contests, they had covered nine in a row. And, of course, they have the Verified System above on their side with a 74.23% win rate.
Since the All-Star break, Charlotte ranks 2nd in Offensive Rating (121.1), 8th in Defensive Rating (109.9) and 4th in Net Rating (+11.3). Meanwhile, the Jazz rank 20th in Offensive Rating (111.2), 23rd in Defensive Rating (117.3) and 23rd in Net Rating (-6.0). The Hornets currently rank 10th in the East, so urgency to win will also be obvious, since they're one of six teams fighting within 4.0 games of each other in the standings, including 4.0 games back from the all-important 6th spot.
Charlotte has covered three straight times as a double-digit favorite (won by 17 as 11-point favorites against the Wizards, 24 as 13.5-point favorites against the Pacers and 27 as 13.5-point favorites against the Mavericks). Therefore, I'm not worried at all about them outperforming this number against Sacramento, who ranks 26th in Net Rating over the last 15 games.
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Today, you can even take advantage of their free pick of Anthony Edwards recording over 0.5 points + rebounds! Talk about a no-brainer!
Eligibility: New users only. Available in AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, DE, FL, GA, IL, IN, KS, KY, MA, MN, NE, NH, NM, NC, ND, OK, OR, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WV, WI, WY + DC. 18+ in most states, 19+ in AL & CO, 21+ in AZ, MA & VA.
Rockets at Nuggets u230.5 (+102, ProphetX)
In spots like this, the under has historically been the way to go, as seen in the 62.7% hit rate system above. The last four times Houston's played with an O/U of 230 or higher, the under has hit and the Rockets have gone 4-7 to the O/U in their last 11 such games.
Peyton Watson will be out for the Nuggets while both Jamal Murray and Cameron Johnson are listed as probable. Especially if Murray is limited, the NBA's top offense (120.1 Offensive Rating) could be negatively affected against the league's 6th-best Defensive Rating (111.9). Houston's identity is on the defensive end of the floor and the only two games in regulation (112-109 Houston win on November 21 and 115-101 Denver win on December 20) finished well below this total. The other meeting was on December 15, when Houston enjoyed a 128-125 overtime victory.
I expect another hard-fought Western Conference battle in the fourth meeting between these two squads.
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